Known flu deaths in the UK have reached 254 this winter with 140 last week and more than 90 percent of deceased are the victims of swine flu (H1N1) and the remainder from influenza B or the H2N3 strain. This comes at a time when there are shortages of vaccines forcing the UK government to consider stripping doctors of their power to order vaccines.
However on the other side of the Atlantic there is a different picture. Cases of flu are only now being reported and most of those are the traditional H3N2 variety, and vaccine stocks are high.
With so much air traffic between the US and UK it is possible that there could soon be lethal outbreaks of swine flu in the US as the virus can easily be carried by an unsuspecting passengers to different airports across the country. However It is already being seen with the U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention reporting about 8% of tested flu samples were the 2009 H1N1 strain.
The dominant theory as to why H1N1 is not so prevalent in the US at the moment is that many US citizens are immune following vaccinations last winter. However January is considered early in the flu season so there is still time for swine flu to spread.
Back in the UK despite the large amounts of deaths last week the flu outbreak could have passed its peak with infection rates dropping significantly, drooping to 66.5 cases per 100,000 people from 108 and almost half from 124 at the turn of the year.
Vaccines are ordered in the UK by GPs, family doctors, who order vaccines based on projections at least six months before the flu season starts but this season many GPs underestimated the demand.
In the US the H1N1 first appeared at an unusual time, in April/May 2009 whereas the flu season usually ends at the end of March so experts say there is still plenty of time foe H1N1 to become established.
Last year flu deaths in the US were only one-third of the normal with about 10,000 being reported mostly elderly people from the H3N2 variety. This years vaccines contain H1N1, H3N2 and Influenza B so should help protect the population from most instances of flu.









